UPDATE: California voters are gearing up for a critical special election on November 4, 2023, where the controversial Proposition 50 could significantly increase voter turnout in Santa Clara and Alameda counties. This measure aims to replace the current congressional district maps with a redistricting plan potentially flipping up to five U.S. House seats from red to blue.
As voters prepare, the stakes are high. This election is the most consequential since the failed recall of Governor Gavin Newsom in 2021. Prop. 50, sparked by Texas Republicans’ efforts to bolster their congressional majority, is expected to mobilize partisan voters, raising the profile of local races that typically see low engagement.
In Santa Clara County, where voters will elect a new county assessor following Larry Stone‘s retirement, turnout has historically ranged between 20% to 35% in special elections. However, with Prop. 50 on the ballot, local Democratic Party Chair Bill James believes this could change. He noted, “There’s a lot of energy and enthusiasm and desire to support Prop. 50,” which could lead to a surge in voters also backing Measure A—a proposed 0.625% sales tax increase to fund essential healthcare services.
Alameda County residents will also be casting ballots on a parcel tax to support emergency services at Washington Hospital. Voter turnout in Alameda has historically varied between 25% and 30% for special elections, but recent high-profile races, such as Barbara Lee‘s mayoral win, achieved a turnout of 37.90%.
Experts predict that Prop. 50’s presence on the ballot could create a “trickle-down effect,” motivating habitual voters and those who may not typically engage in local issues. Political science professor Melissa Michelson stated, “They will suddenly also be asked to vote on these other measures.”
However, not all Democrats support Prop. 50. Former Saratoga Councilmember Rishi Kumar and former Assemblymember Kansen Chu have publicly opposed the measure, arguing that it disproportionately affects low-income families. The county Republican Party and the Silicon Valley Taxpayers’ Association echo these concerns.
In a significant financial boost, counties participating in the special elections will receive reimbursements from the state. Santa Clara County, which is already grappling with the financial implications of Stone’s retirement, is set to receive $17.2 million to cover election costs, while Alameda County expects $11.4 million.
As the election approaches, officials stress the importance of raising awareness. Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters Matt Moreles has noted that turnout for special elections typically lags behind presidential elections, which often see participation rates of 70% to 80%.
With just days remaining until the election, the political landscape in California is shifting rapidly. Voters are encouraged to stay informed and prepare to make their voices heard on these crucial issues.
For residents of Santa Clara and Alameda counties, the upcoming election on November 4 is not just about local governance; it’s a pivotal moment that could reshape the state’s political dynamics.
