The NFL’s Week 8 brings an array of intriguing player prop bets for bettors looking to capitalize on matchups. With analytical tools now available, including the new PFF Player Prop Tool, enthusiasts can make informed betting decisions based on predictive analytics and matchup data. This tool is accessible to PFF+ subscribers via the PFF app, available on both the Apple App Store and Google Play Store.
Targeting De’Von Achane
Among the standout players for this week is De’Von Achane of the Miami Dolphins, who is projected to exceed 4.5 receptions at odds of -112. Achane has emerged as a dual-threat running back, proving to be just as effective in the passing game as he is on the ground. Currently, he leads the Dolphins in targets, ranking second among running backs in receptions, trailing only Christian McCaffrey.
With Tua Tagovailoa at the helm, Achane has become a primary target, especially when Miami is trailing. He is targeted on 26.5% of his routes in those situations. This week, Achane faces the Atlanta Falcons, who have struggled to defend against running backs in the passing game. The Falcons have been largely untested in this area, allowing significant receptions only to McCaffrey last week.
Miami’s offensive strategy includes a high rate of screen plays, with Achane benefiting from this approach as he leads the NFL in receiving screens at 18.5%. Additionally, Achane’s high target rate during blitz situations—coupled with the Falcons’ tendency to blitz at the second-highest rate—could further enhance his receiving opportunities.
Assessing Josh Allen’s Rushing Attempts
Another player to consider is Josh Allen, quarterback for the Buffalo Bills, who is projected to have under 7.5 rushing attempts at odds of -138. Although Allen is known for his dynamic running ability, his rushing attempts are heavily influenced by the defensive schemes he faces.
This week, the Bills take on the Carolina Panthers, a team that predominantly employs zone coverage, which tends to limit Allen’s scrambling opportunities. In the current season, Allen has exceeded this rushing attempts line only twice, specifically against teams that utilize high rates of man coverage, such as the Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots.
With the Panthers ranked among the lowest in man coverage at 14.2%, Allen is likely to focus more on passing from the pocket. Carolina’s defensive strategy, which relies heavily on zone coverage, poses a different challenge for Allen, who excels at dissecting zone defenses when given time to throw. He currently ranks second in PFF passing grade against zone coverage, highlighting his ability to exploit defensive weaknesses.
As NFL Week 8 approaches, these insights and betting opportunities offer a valuable perspective for those looking to engage with the action. The PFF Player Prop Tool provides a comprehensive resource for bettors, allowing them to make well-informed decisions based on statistical analysis and matchup data.
