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Israel’s Path to Peace: Navigating New Challenges and Opportunities

President Donald Trump is reportedly close to facilitating a resolution to the ongoing conflict in Gaza. His recent executive order aimed at guaranteeing Qatar’s security following an Israeli attack has served as a critical reminder to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that Israel cannot operate without regard for international opinion. By establishing clear limits and signaling potential exhaustion of American patience, Trump has encouraged Israel to consider a peace agreement that aligns with its long-term interests.

As of October 2023, after two years marked by violent incursions from Hamas, Israel has significantly weakened the militant group’s military capabilities. Nevertheless, this military success has pushed Israel toward international isolation. The country’s reputation has taken a hit, particularly in Europe and the United States, where public sentiment has soured. An overwhelming majority of Israelis, approximately 82%, express a desire for the conflict to end, reflecting a growing fatigue with ongoing hostilities.

Israel’s unity, which has historically bolstered its strength, is now under strain due to the hardline policies of the current government. The risks of further isolation and internal divisions may pose a greater threat to Israeli security than the lingering danger from Hamas. Reports indicate that Israeli soldiers are weary, with some calling for a cessation of military service in Gaza. Additionally, the ultra-Orthodox community has largely resisted military conscription, even as their political representatives advocate for continued conflict.

Netanyahu appears to recognize the necessity of ending the conflict. This acknowledgment does not mitigate the reality that Hamas remains a violent organization contributing to the suffering of both Palestinians and Israelis. The group’s military operatives often act more like criminals than soldiers, and while it deserves condemnation for instigating violence, the Israeli government faces its own challenges in completely eliminating the organization.

The ongoing military operations in Gaza are draining resources, and the debate about the justification for occupation is largely moot, as the consequences would further damage Israel’s international standing. Despite having secured military victories, Israel now faces the more complex task of achieving peace. Acknowledgment of a Palestinian state may be essential for long-term stability, and Israeli leaders must consider specific, albeit challenging, actions.

First, centrist political parties in Israel should commit to joining a government led by Netanyahu. Although this may be politically uncomfortable, such a move could break the current impasse and facilitate discussions aimed at ending hostilities. Second, Israeli leaders should explore strategies to mitigate the impact of the criminal charges against Netanyahu. While it is crucial to uphold the rule of law, addressing this issue may reduce his motivation to maintain a far-right coalition at all costs.

Lastly, Israel must identify a unifying figure among Palestinians. While the Palestinian Authority has frequently been criticized as an ineffective negotiating partner, figures like Marwan Barghouti, imprisoned since 2002, could provide a more engaging path forward. Barghouti is known for his attempts to combat corruption and reform governance during his time in the Palestinian legislative council. His advocacy for a two-state solution, along with his fluency in Hebrew, positions him as a potentially moderate figure in a polarized landscape.

The prospect of releasing Barghouti may face resistance within Israeli society, but if centrist parties were to align with Netanyahu’s government, the political calculus could shift. President Trump has laid the groundwork for a potential peace deal that necessitates bold moves from Israel. Taking such actions may be uncomfortable, yet they are vital to secure a peaceful future and avoid escalating isolation on the global stage.

Colin Pascal, a retired Army lieutenant colonel and expert in counterintelligence, emphasizes the urgent need for Israel to navigate these challenging waters. His experience, including roles in Operation Inherent Resolve, underscores the importance of addressing both internal and external pressures. As a current graduate student in the School of Public Affairs at American University and a resident of Annapolis, Pascal brings a unique perspective to the ongoing discourse surrounding Israeli-Palestinian relations. The choices made now will shape the future of Israel and its standing in the world for years to come.

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