The first year of Donald Trump’s second administration has seen a series of unprecedented actions that could have lasting implications for American democracy and society. Historians and political scientists have begun to analyze these actions, posing questions about their significance and potential future impact.
One of the most notable aspects of this year has been the revival of the power to levy tariffs, a shift that could reshape both domestic and international economic landscapes. However, the true weight of Trump’s actions remains uncertain, hinging on future developments within Congress, the Supreme Court, and public response.
Key Actions and Their Consequences
Prominent historians have offered insights into what they believe will be remembered as the most consequential actions of Trump’s first year back in office.
Heather Cox Richardson, a history professor at Boston College, emphasizes the influence of former advisor Stephen Miller. She suggests that Miller has been pivotal in shaping some of the administration’s most alarming policies: “I think we will ultimately learn that Miller was the one making the most alarming and consequential decisions during Trump’s first term and then giving the orders to implement them.”
The expansion of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) also garners significant attention. Joanne B. Freeman, a professor at Yale University, describes the transformation of ICE into a “force of masked marauders,” arguing that its actions against immigrants have escalated into a broader attack on American citizens. She states, “Trump has openly, aggressively turned the United States government against its own people,” which she believes threatens the very fabric of American democracy.
Another critical viewpoint comes from David S. Brown, a historian at Elizabethtown College. He warns that the narrative surrounding ICE raids could shift dramatically if they begin to target citizens in blue states. Drawing parallels to historical legislation like the Fugitive Slave Act, he notes that ICE overreach could significantly influence upcoming electoral cycles.
Threats to Democracy and Cultural Disruption
The implications of Trump’s actions extend into the realm of justice and governance. Brendan Nyhan, a political science professor at Dartmouth College, identifies the firing of Department of Justice officials investigating Trump as a grave threat to democracy. He notes that 85% of political science experts surveyed rated this action as posing an “extraordinary” or “serious” threat.
Discussions about executive power also surface prominently. Patrick Andelic, a historian from Northumbria University, highlights Trump’s expansive use of executive authority, which he characterizes as often unconstitutional. He reflects on the thin legislative agenda of this administration, emphasizing that Trump’s pursuit of Greenland may have far-reaching consequences that could reshape global relations.
On a cultural level, John Garrison Marks points to the disruption of federal cultural institutions as another significant action. He critiques Trump’s cancellation of cultural grants and the politicization of agencies, suggesting that these moves undermine an opportunity for a thoughtful engagement with American history, especially with the upcoming 250th anniversary of the nation.
The pardoning of individuals involved in the January 6 Capitol riots also stands out as a pivotal moment. Andrea Pitzer asserts that these pardons not only lack accountability for violent actions but also reveal weaknesses in American institutions. She warns that Trump’s ability to reward those who supported his grievances may set a dangerous precedent for the future.
As Trump continues to implement his agenda, the assessments from historians and political analysts will likely evolve. The consequences of this first year may take years to fully understand, but the discussions surrounding these actions underscore the urgent need to examine their implications for American society and governance.
