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U.S. Budget Deficit Drops to $95 Billion in January Amid Revenue Surge

The U.S. government recorded a budget deficit of $95 billion in January 2026, reflecting a 26% decline or $34 billion from the same month the previous year. According to the U.S. Treasury Department, this decrease was driven by significant revenue gains, particularly from customs duties, which surpassed the growth in government spending.

When adjusted for typical calendar shifts in benefit payments related to holidays and weekends, the adjusted deficit for January would have been approximately $30 billion. This figure represents a remarkable reduction of $52 billion or 63% compared to January 2025.

In January, total government receipts amounted to $560 billion, an increase of $47 billion or 9% from the previous year. Conversely, total outlays reached $655 billion, which is up by $13 billion or 2%. While the receipts and outlays set records for the month, the deficit itself did not achieve a record high, as noted by a Treasury official.

Year-to-Date Deficit and Customs Duties

For the first four months of the 2026 fiscal year, which began on October 1, the cumulative deficit stood at $697 billion, down $143 billion or 17% compared to the same period in fiscal 2025. Year-to-date receipts totaled $1.785 trillion, reflecting an increase of $188 billion or 12%, while outlays amounted to $2.482 trillion, rising by $46 billion or 2%.

The surge in January’s revenue, as well as the year-to-date figures, was significantly influenced by higher net customs receipts resulting from tariffs implemented during the administration of President Donald Trump. In January, customs duties reached $27.7 billion, consistent with December’s figures but slightly below the $30 billion monthly average observed in late 2025. By contrast, customs duties in January 2025 totaled only $7.3 billion, marking a dramatic increase due to the tariffs.

Year-to-date net customs duties for the fiscal year stood at $117.7 billion, a significant rise from $28.2 billion in the previous year.

Interest Outlays and Fiscal Impact

Another factor contributing to the deficit reduction was a rare decrease in interest outlays on public debt, which fell by $12 billion to $72 billion in January. The Treasury attributed this decline to adjustments in payments related to inflation-linked securities that had been delayed due to last year’s government shutdown and the subsequent release of consumer price index data.

Year-to-date interest payments on Treasury debt reached $426 billion, setting a record for this period and reflecting an increase of $34 billion or 9% over the previous year.

The overall fiscal landscape for January 2026 demonstrates a positive trajectory for U.S. government finances, driven primarily by rising revenues and effectively managed expenditures. As the fiscal year progresses, continued monitoring of these trends will be essential for understanding their longer-term implications on the economy.

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